خطبة الجمعة اليوم بمسجد التوحيد الشيخ محمد عبد المقصود

هذه تجربة لإرسال المواضيع من الموبيل مباشرة للمدونة

The Sun And The Moon Are Two Signs Of Allah; They Are Not Eclipsed On Account Of Anyone'S Death Or Birth

'A'ishah, may Allah be pleased with her, reported: 'A'ishah, may Allah be pleased with her, reported: There was a solar eclipse in the time of the Messenger of Allah (may peace be upon him). He stood up to pray and prolonged his stand very much. He then bowed and prolonged very much his bowing. He then raised his head and prolonged his stand much, but it was less than the (duration) of the first stand. He then bowed and prolonged bowing much, but it was less than the duration of his first bowing. He then prostrated and then stood up and prolonged the stand, but it was less than the first stand. He then bowed and prolonged his bowing, but it was less than the first bowing. He then lifted his head and then stood up and prolonged his stand, but it was less than the first stand. He then bowed and prolonged bowing and it was less than the first bowing. He then prostrated himself; then he turned about, and the sun had become bright, and he addressed the people. He praised Allah and lauded Him and said: The sun and the moon are two signs of Allah; they are not eclipsed on account of anyone's death or on account of anyone's birth. So when you see them, glorify and supplicate Allah, observe the Prayer, give alms. O Ummah of Muhammad, none is more indignant than Allah when His servant or maid commits fornication. O people of Muhammad, by Allah, if you knew what I know, you would weep much and laugh little. O Allah witness, I informed them.

‏إن الشمس والقمر من آيات الله وإنهما لا ينخسفان لموت أحد ولا لحياته‏ ‏ ‏و حدثنا ‏ ‏قتيبة بن سعيد ‏ ‏عن ‏ ‏مالك بن أنس ‏ ‏عن ‏ ‏هشام بن عروة ‏ ‏عن ‏ ‏أبيه ‏ ‏عن ‏ ‏عائشة ‏ ‏ح ‏ ‏و حدثنا ‏ ‏أبو بكر بن أبي شيبة ‏ ‏واللفظ له ‏ ‏قال حدثنا ‏ ‏عبد الله بن نمير ‏ ‏حدثنا ‏ ‏هشام ‏ ‏عن ‏ ‏أبيه ‏ ‏عن ‏ ‏عائشة ‏ ‏قالت ‏ ‏خسفت الشمس في عهد رسول الله ‏ ‏صلى الله عليه وسلم ‏ ‏فقام رسول الله ‏ ‏صلى الله عليه وسلم ‏ ‏يصلي فأطال القيام جدا ثم ركع فأطال الركوع جدا ثم رفع رأسه فأطال القيام جدا وهو دون القيام الأول ثم ركع فأطال الركوع جدا وهو دون الركوع الأول ثم سجد ثم قام فأطال القيام وهو دون القيام الأول ثم ركع فأطال الركوع وهو دون الركوع الأول ثم رفع رأسه فقام فأطال القيام وهو دون القيام الأول ثم ركع فأطال الركوع وهو دون الركوع الأول ثم سجد ثم انصرف رسول الله ‏ ‏صلى الله عليه وسلم ‏ ‏وقد تجلت الشمس فخطب الناس فحمد الله وأثنى عليه ثم قال ‏ ‏إن الشمس والقمر من آيات الله وإنهما لا ينخسفان لموت أحد ولا لحياته فإذا رأيتموهما فكبروا وادعوا الله وصلوا وتصدقوا يا أمة ‏ ‏محمد ‏ ‏إن من أحد أغير من الله أن يزني عبده أو تزني أمته يا أمة ‏ ‏محمد ‏ ‏والله لو تعلمون ما أعلم لبكيتم كثيرا ولضحكتم قليلا ألا هل بلغت ‏ ‏وفي رواية ‏ ‏مالك ‏ ‏إن الشمس والقمر آيتان من آيات الله ‏ ‏و حدثناه ‏ ‏يحيى بن يحيى ‏ ‏أخبرنا ‏ ‏أبو معاوية ‏ ‏عن ‏ ‏هشام بن عروة ‏ ‏بهذا الإسناد ‏ ‏وزاد ثم قال أما بعد فإن الشمس والقمر من آيات الله وزاد أيضا ثم رفع يديه فقال اللهم هل بلغت ‏

حديث في صحيح الإمام مسلم

رقم الحديث: 279 (حديث قدسي) حَدَّثَنَا أَبُو بَكْرِ بْنُ أَبِي شَيْبَةَ ، حَدَّثَنَا عَفَّانُ بْنُ مُسْلِمٍ ، حَدَّثَنَا حَمَّادُ بْنُ سَلَمَةَ ، حَدَّثَنَا ثَابِتٌ ، عَنْ أَنَسٍ ، عَنِ ابْنِ مَسْعُودٍ ، أَنَّ رَسُولَ اللَّهِ صَلَّى اللَّهُ عَلَيْهِ وَسَلَّمَ ، قَالَ : " آخِرُ مَنْ يَدْخُلُ الْجَنَّةَ رَجُلٌ ، فَهْوَ يَمْشِي مَرَّةً ، وَيَكْبُو مَرَّةً ، وَتَسْفَعُهُ النَّارُ مَرَّةً ، فَإِذَا مَا جَاوَزَهَا الْتَفَتَ إِلَيْهَا ، فَقَالَ : تَبَارَكَ الَّذِي نَجَّانِي مِنْكِ ، لَقَدْ أَعْطَانِي اللَّهُ شَيْئًا مَا أَعْطَاهُ أَحَدًا مِنَ الأَوَّلِينَ وَالآخِرِينَ ، فَتُرْفَعُ لَهُ شَجَرَةٌ ، فَيَقُولُ : أَيْ رَبِّ ، أَدْنِنِي مِنْ هَذِهِ الشَّجَرَةِ ، فَلِأَسْتَظِلَّ بِظِلِّهَا ، وَأَشْرَبَ مِنْ مَائِهَا ، فَيَقُولُ اللَّهُ عَزَّ وَجَلَّ : يَا ابْنَ آدَمَ ، لَعَلِّي إِنَّ أَعْطَيْتُكَهَا سَأَلْتَنِي غَيْرَهَا ؟ فَيَقُولُ : لَا يَا رَبِّ ، وَيُعَاهِدُهُ أَنْ لَا يَسْأَلَهُ غَيْرَهَا ، وَرَبُّهُ يَعْذِرُهُ ، لِأَنَّهُ يَرَى مَا لَا صَبْرَ لَهُ عَلَيْهِ ، فَيُدْنِيهِ مِنْهَا ، فَيَسْتَظِلُّ بِظِلِّهَا ، وَيَشْرَبُ مِنْ مَائِهَا ، ثُمَّ تُرْفَعُ لَهُ شَجَرَةٌ هِيَ أَحْسَنُ مِنَ الأُولَى ، فَيَقُولُ : أَيْ رَبِّ ، أَدْنِنِي مِنْ هَذِهِ لِأَشْرَبَ مِنْ مَائِهَا ، وَأَسْتَظِلَّ بِظِلِّهَا ، لَا أَسْأَلُكَ غَيْرَهَا ، فَيَقُولُ : يَا ابْنَ آدَمَ ، أَلَمْ تُعَاهِدْنِي أَنْ لَا تَسْأَلَنِي غَيْرَهَا ؟ فَيَقُولُ : لَعَلِّي إِنْ أَدْنَيْتُكَ مِنْهَا تَسْأَلُنِي غَيْرَهَا ، فَيُعَاهِدُهُ أَنْ لَا يَسْأَلَهُ غَيْرَهَا ، وَرَبُّهُ يَعْذِرُهُ ، لِأَنَّهُ يَرَى مَا لَا صَبْرَ لَهُ عَلَيْه ، فَيُدْنِيهِ مِنْهَا ، فَيَسْتَظِلُّ بِظِلِّهَا ، وَيَشْرَبُ مِنْ مَائِهَا ، ثُمَّ تُرْفَعُ لَهُ شَجَرَةٌ عِنْدَ بَابِ الْجَنَّةِ هِيَ أَحْسَنُ مِنَ الأُولَيَيْنِ ، فَيَقُولُ : أَيْ رَبِّ ، أَدْنِنِي مِنْ هَذِهِ لِأَسْتَظِلَّ بِظِلِّهَا وَأَشْرَبَ مِنْ مَائِهَا ، لَا أَسْأَلُكَ غَيْرَهَا ، فَيَقُولُ : يَا ابْنَ آدَمَ ، أَلَمْ تُعَاهِدْنِي أَنْ لَا تَسْأَلَنِي غَيْرَهَا ؟ قَالَ : بَلَى يَا رَبِّ ، هَذِهِ لَا أَسْأَلُكَ غَيْرَهَا ، وَرَبُّهُ يَعْذِرُهُ ، لِأَنَّهُ يَرَى مَا لَا صَبْرَ لَهُ عَلَيْهَا ، فَيُدْنِيهِ مِنْهَا ، فَإِذَا أَدْنَاهُ مِنْهَا فَيَسْمَعُ أَصْوَاتَ أَهْلِ الْجَنَّةِ ، فَيَقُولُ : أَيْ رَبِّ أَدْخِلْنِيهَا ؟ فَيَقُولُ : يَا ابْنَ آدَمَ ، مَا يَصْرِينِي مِنْكَ ، أَيُرْضِيكَ أَنْ أُعْطِيَكَ الدُّنْيَا وَمِثْلَهَا مَعَهَا ؟ قَالَ : يَا رَبِّ ، أَتَسْتَهْزِئُ مِنِّي وَأَنْتَ رَبُّ الْعَالَمِينَ ؟ " ، فَضَحِكَ ابْنُ مَسْعُودٍ ، فَقَالَ : أَلَا تَسْأَلُونِي مِمَّ أَضْحَكُ ؟ فَقَالُوا : مِمَّ تَضْحَكُ ؟ قَالَ : هَكَذَا ضَحِكَ رَسُولُ اللَّهِ صَلَّى اللَّهُ عَلَيْهِ وَسَلَّمَ ، فَقَالُوا : مِمَّ تَضْحَكُ يَا رَسُولَ اللَّهِ ؟ قَالَ : مِنْ ضِحْكِ رَبِّ الْعَالَمِينَ ، حِينَ قَالَ : أَتَسْتَهْزِئُ مِنِّي وَأَنْتَ رَبُّ الْعَالَمِينَ ؟ ، فَيَقُولُ : إِنِّي لَا أَسْتَهْزِئُ مِنْكَ ، وَلَكِنِّي عَلَى مَا أَشَاءُ قَادِرٌ .

Why they hide this in our media ?

Do our media busy with our news to the limit they never talk about the protest outside our countries ?(the Arab world) or do they just did not want us to see what is going on there too? "Quoted from the down mentioned site" 100 March on NYPD 1st Precinct to Demand Dignity;
 Women in Custody Being Harassed, Police Protocols In Question Posted 4 hours ago on Nov. 16, 2011, 12:54 a.m. EST by OccupyWallSt Message from Protestors to NYPD: If you SEE something, a fellow officer violating protocol, SAY something Over 100 people, mostly women, marched from Liberty Square to NYPD’s 1st Precinct HQ at 11pm Tuesday night to demand that all women in custody be treated with respect and dignity by the police. The march was organized after our sisters in custody made various complaints of male officers patrolling the women’s cells, unannounced. We were told that male members of the NYPD were specifically making unannounced patrols by the women’s cells, and by the shared women’s toilet (in plain view of all women and officers)--which is a common tactic used to humiliate those in custody. In the spirit of the Occupy movement, the crowd of 100 gathered peacefully in a showing of strong solidarity with the specific demand that the NYPD issue a formal statement that this will be addressed and that there be no more instances of this humiliating tactic being used. There were no arrests at tonight’s solidarity march. Some chants from the crowd: “All day, all night, occupy women’s rights!” and “Courtesy, professionalism and respect” and “If you see something, say something!”

Interview with Daniel Gros, director of the Centre for European Policy Studies in Brussels | euronews, world news

المخاوف تتزايد في منطقة اليورو اليونان وعلى الطريق إيطاليا والبرتغال وفرنسا ليست بعيده عن ذلك والله المستعان على الركود الإقتصادي الذي ينتظر العالم في العام القادم ولا ندري إلى متى وهو ليس بعيد عنا وعن حساباتنا

euronews : “For more insight euronews spoke to Daniel Gros, director of the Centre for European Policy Studies in Brussels. Mr Gros, Italy’s bond yields have reached a level that makes refinancing the country’s debt pactically impossible. What happens next? Will reform measures, as announced by Rome, be enough to reestablish credibility?”

Daniel Gros: “Yes and no is the answer. With regard to Italy, it doesn’t only matter whether or not the reform package that has been announced is implemented. But it matters greatly whether the country truly supports these measures. If the package is adopted by a small majority in parliament, but if the social partners (management and labour) are unwilling to make further concessions, then it would not be enough. If, on the other hand, there was a huge majority in parliament and if the unions said, ‘We want to make contributions’ as well, then it would be enough. And that could end the crisis quickly.”

euronews: “You once said that the fate of the euro would be decided in Italy. Well, we are at that point now. Can the euro survive, possibly without Italy and Greece?”

Gros: “The euro can certainly survive without Greece, but not without Italy. If Italy defaults, other countries like Spain or Portugal might also default. Even France might be in trouble then. A default of Italy is the end of the euro, maybe even the end of European integration. Italy holds the key to the euro’s survival, that’s pretty clear.”

euronews: “What can the leaders of the euro zone do? You have put forward some proposals, like the creation of a European Monetary Fund. Is this still feasible?”

Gros: “The European Monetary Fund, had it existed, would certainly have contained the problems of Greece, Portugal and Ireland. But we have passed this point now. It is not about a European Monetary Fund anymore. It is about the true European leadership. Who has the final say? Is it Berlin, the fiscal power of Germany? Or is it the European Central Bank? Right now, we are heading toward a situation in which only a strong intervention by the ECB can save the day, as even the German taxpayer is unable to bail out Italy. Maybe the ECB is the last resort.”

euronews: “Let me follow up on this. In the United States, the worst of the debt crisis has been avoided by determined action by the Federal Reserve, the country’s central bank. We in Europe do have the ECB. Shouldn’t the ECB be given more firepower to keep financial markets at bay?”

Gros: “The ECB has a problem which the Federal Reserve does not have: The ECB relies on national central banks and national governments. And these national governments have diverging interests. The German Bundesbank, for instance,

thinks that monetary stability is in danger and needs to be protected. Other central banks believe that the ECB needs to support countries with a liquidity crunch. In theory, the ECB has all the firepower it needs. The question is: Does the ECB want to use this firepower? Can the ECB use it? Can it use it to bail out one or two countries? This is the big conflict that is being waged behind the scenes in Frankfurt right now. And it is the outcome of this conflict that will finally determine whether Italy can keep the euro or not.”

euronews: “What outcome do you expect?”

Gros: “If Italy implements the austerity measures, then the ECB will use its firepower and the euro can be saved.”

الحديث الذي في البخاري

هذا هو اللفظ الموجود في صحيح الإمام البخاري - رحمه الله - : 926 - حدثنا محمد بن عرعرة قال حدثنا شعبة عن سلمان عن مسلم البطين عن سعيد بن جبير عن ابن عباس عن النبي صلى الله عليه و سلم أنه قال : ما العمل في أيام العشر أفضل من العمل في هذه . قالوا ولا الجهاد ؟ قال : ولا الجهاد إلا رجل خرج يخاطر بنفسه وماله فلم يرجع بشيء

سفرة سريعة لمرسى مطروح

الرحلة الرمضانية المختصرة

صلاة الكسوف

بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم


اليوم الأربعاء 15 يونيو 2011 الموافق 13 رجب 1431هـ


خسوف القمر كلياً







صلاة الكسوف




* يطلق الكسوف والخسوف على الشمس والقمر جميعا.


حكم صلاة الكسوف:
* صلاة كسوف الشمس والقمر سنة مؤكدة
* ويسن فعلها جماعة كما فعلها صلى الله عليه وسلم، وليست شرطاً فيها بل تصح فرادى،
* والسنة أن يصليها في المسجد ؛ قالت عائشة : خسفت الشمس في حياة رسول الله صلى الله عليه وسلم فخرج إلى المسجد ، فصف الناس وراءه. رواه البخاري .
* وتشرع في حق النساء ؛ لأن عائشة وأسماء صلتا مع رسول الله صلى الله عليه وسلم في المسجد. رواه البخاري.


وقتها:
* وقتها من ابتداء الكسوف إلى ذهابه ولا تصلى حتى يرى الناس الكسوف لقوله - صَلَّى اللَّهُ عَلَيْهِ وَسَلَّمَ -: (إذا رأيتم شيئاً من ذلك فصلوا حتى ينجلي) رواه مسلم.
* تفوت الصلاة بانجلاء الكسوف كليةً ، فإن انجلى البعض فله الشروع في الصلاة للباقي.
* إذا لم يعلم بالكسوف إلا بعد زواله فلا يقضى؛ لأنها مقيدة بسبب تزول بزواله، ولا يشرع قضائها.


النداء لها:
* عن عبد الله بن عمرو ، قال : لما كسفت الشمس على عهد رسول الله صلى الله عليه وسلم نودي بالصلاة جامعة. متفق عليه .
* ويُكرِّر المنادي ذلك، حتى يظن أنه قد أسمع الناس.
* ولا يسن لها أذان ولا إقامة اتفاقاً.


كيفيتها وما يقرأ فيها:
* هي ركعتان في كل ركعة قيامان وقراءتان وركوعان وسجودان .
* يقرأ في الأولى جهراً -ليلاً كانت أو نهاراً- الفاتحة، وسورة طويلة، ثم يركع طويلاً، ثم يرفع، فيسمع، ويحمد، ولا يسجد، بل يقرأ الفاتحة وسورة طويلة دون الأولى، ثم يركع، ثم يرفع، ثم يسجد سجدتين طويلتين، ثم يصلى الثانية كالأولى، لكن دونها في كل ما يفعل، ثم يتشهد ويسلم.
* عن عائشة زوج النبي صلى الله عليه وسلم قالت: خسفت الشمس في حياة رسول الله صلى الله عليه وسلم فخرج رسول الله صلى الله عليه وسلم إلى المسجد فقام وكبر وصف الناس وراءه فاقترأ رسول الله صلى الله عليه وسلم قراءة طويلة ثم كبر فركع ركوعا طويلا ثم رفع رأسه فقال سمع الله لمن حمده ربنا ولك الحمد ثم قام فاقترأ قراءة طويلة هي أدنى من القراءة الأولى ثم كبر فركع ركوعا طويلا هو أدنى من الركوع الأول ثم قال سمع الله لمن حمده ربنا ولك الحمد ثم سجد ثم فعل في الركعة الأخرى مثل ذلك حتى استكمل أربع ركعات وأربع سجدات وانجلت الشمس قبل أن ينصرف ثم قام فخطب الناس فأثنى على الله بما هو أهله ثم قال إن الشمس والقمر آيتان من آيات الله لا يخسفان لموت أحد ولا لحياته فإذا رأيتموها فافزعوا للصلاة } رواه مسلم وفي رواية (ثم سجد سجودا طويلاً)
* ويجهر بالقراءة سواء كانت بالنهار أو بالليل لحديث عائشة في الصحيحين (جهر النبي صلى الله عليه وسلم في صلاة الخسوف بقراءته)، ويرى بعض العلماء الإسرار لكسوف الشمس والأمر واسع والأول أصح.
* وجاء تقدير طول القيام الأول في حديث ابن عباس ، { أن النبي صلى الله عليه وسلم قام قياما طويلا ، نحوا من سورة البقرة } متفق عليه.
* وعن أبى موسى الاشعري في صفة صلاة رسول الله صلى الله عليه وسلم قال " فأتى المسجد فصلي بأطول قيام وركوع وسجود رأيته يفعله في صلاته " رواه البخاري ومسلم
* ولا يطيل الرفع من الركوع الثاني ولا الجلوس بين السجدتين ولا التشهد.
* وتصح الصلاة بأي قدر من القراءة ولكن يستحب إطالتها.
* ويسن أن يكثر ذكر الله ، والاستغفار ، والتكبير والصدقة ، والتقرب إلى الله تعالى بما استطاع من القرب ، لقول النبي صلى الله عليه وسلم : فإذا رأيتم ذلك فادعوا الله وكبروا وصلوا وتصدقوا. متفق عليه.
* ومن العلماء من يرى أنه لو صلاها ركعتين كالنافلة صحت وأجزأته للكسوف وفاتته السنة، والله أعلم.


الخطبة:
* ويسن أن يعظ الإمام الناس بعد صلاة الكسوف ويحذِّرهم من الغفلة ويأمرهم بالإكثار من الدعاء والاستغفار؛ لفعل النبي - صَلَّى اللَّهُ عَلَيْهِ وَسَلَّمَ -، فقد خطب الناس بعد الصلاة وقال: (إن الشمس والقمر آيتان من آيات الله لا ينكسفان لموت أحد ولا لحياته، فإذا رأيتم ذلك فادعوا الله وكَبِّروا، وصلوا وتصدقوا) رواه البخاري.


انجلاء الكسوف:
* السنة أن تستمر صلاة الكسوف حتى ينكشف ، ويعود كما كان .
* فإذا انتهت الصلاة قبل الانجلاء فلا تعاد، بل يذكر الله، ويكثر من دعائه؛ لقوله - صَلَّى اللَّهُ عَلَيْهِ وَسَلَّمَ -: (فَإِذَا رَأَيْتُمُوهُمَا فَادْعُوا اللَّهَ وَصَلُّوا حَتَّى يَنْجَلِي) رواه البخاري. فدلَّ على أنه إنْ سَلَّمَ من الصلاة قبل الانجلاء تشاغل بالدعاء.
* وإذا تم الانجلاء وهو في الصلاة أتمها خفيفة، ولا يقطعها.


المسبوق:
* وما بعد الركوع الأول لا تدرك به الركعة، فعلى هذا لو دخل مسبوق مع الإِمام بعد أن رفع رأسه من الركوع الأول فإن هذه الركعة تعتبر قد فاتته فيقضيها.
* تقضى الركعات الفائتة على هيئة الصلاة فتكون الركعة بقرائتين وركوعين وسجودين يطيلهما إذا كان الكسوف مازال مستمرا ويخففهما إذا كان قد انقضى.




والله تعالى أعلم
وصلى الله على محمد وعلى آله وصحبه وسلم


المصدر موقع صيد الفوائد

من روائع محمد الشنقيطي

سبحان الله أن يصل الإفتراء والكذب لهذا الحد ممن يسمى رجل دين

بارك الله في الأخ الذي قام بالترجمة والأخت التي راجعتها

أخطاء تبطل الصلاة ويوجد نسخة باللغة الإنجليزية

موضوع خطير عن نجيب ساويرس

http://thetrunaguibsawiris.wordpress.com/2010/07/09/naguib-sawiris-ventures-saddled-with-debt-with-arafat-gone-who-will-save-naguib-sawiris

Bin Laden brings out the best in conspiracy theorists

By Wynne Parry

It’s not hard to imagine why the announcement sounds suspicious: A decade-long search for an international terrorist ends with his body dumped at sea, with no photos, film or other documentation provided.

President Barack Obama's announcement on Sunday night that United States forces had killed Sept. 11 mastermind Osama bin Laden leaves a lot for conspiracy theorists to chew on.

"The potential is tremendous," said Barna Donovan, a professor of communications at St. Peter's College in New Jersey and author of the forthcoming book "Conspiracy Films: A Tour of Dark Places in the American Conscious" (McFarland & Company, 2011).

In fact, the conspiracy theorists are already out. Politico reporting that radio host Alex Jones, who thinks the U.S. government was behind the Sept. 11 attacks, said that he believes that the government had bin Laden frozen for years. Anti-war activist Cindy Sheehan has also called the announcement a fake as did an arm of a Pakistani Taliban group, according to the website. A Facebook group Osama bin Laden NOT DEAD has begun collecting attracting like minded people, and apparently fake photos of bin Laden's battered face have added fuel to the fire.

Ingredients for a conspiracy
"We have a couple of factors already that are coming out that naturally fuel the conspiratorial impulse," Donovan said. “Apparently there is no body, he was buried at sea. The conspiratorial mindset will glom onto that."

American officials have said they identified bin Laden's body with 99.9 percent confidence using DNA evidence, and that his body was photographed before being buried at sea, according to The Associated Press. (Officials said bin Laden was buried at sea because it would have been difficult to find a country willing to accept his remains and because Islamic custom requires a swift burial, the AP reported.)

The lack of documentation leaves room for conspiracy theorists to question whether or not bin Laden is actually dead, or whether he died long ago — as some, including the author David Ray Griffin, have suggested.

Another potential angle for conspiracy theorists is the timing of the announcement, according to Patricia Turner, a professor of folklore at the University of California, Davis. The most amusing theory she has seen so far speculates that Obama timed the announcement to knock Trump’s show reality TV show "Celebrity Apprentice", which runs Sunday nights, off the air to punish Trump, who is considering running as a Republican candidate for president in 2012, has been questioning Obama's citizenship and, hence, his eligibility for office, echoing demands long made by conspiracy theorists dubbed "birthers."

"That is a reminder as well that some of these things are amusing," Turner said.

Timing will likely feed many other theories, according to Turner.

"There are going to be people who say, 'Why couldn't we have done this earlier? Why did this take so long?'" she said.

With the approach of the next presidential campaign, for example, some could speculate that Obama timed the action to boost his popularity. Others could speculate that bin Laden's death was staged or timed to get Americans energized about committing more resources to the war on terror, said Donovan.

"Usually conspiracy theories have political angle," he said.

Who are conspiracy theorists?
Conspiracy theories have flourished since the Sept. 11 terrorist attack and in its aftermath, including the idea that the attack was an "inside job" perpetrated by the U.S. government, that bin Laden died long ago but the U.S. government never acknowledged his death as a way to keep support for the war on terror strong, and that Obama is a Muslim and in cahoots with terrorists. ( Obama is a Christian.)

Conspiracy theorists tend to be "people who feel like they don't have power in the world, they feel like they have been victimized, they often come up with these explanations how somebody must be behind it," Donovan said.

Mindset is important, according to Turner, who has followed the birther trend. Conspiracy theories regarding an event often arise when "an official explanation of it seems incongruous to some people who have a worldview that doesn't accommodate that legitimate explanation," she said. "Or that the information that one is getting is confused, chaotic and contradictory."

confused, chaotic and contradictory."

Dispelling myths
To keep theories from running wild, the Obama administration should release as much information as possible, and speak directly, without any euphemisms or language that seems to be hedging a bet, Turner recommended. However, full disclosure and the clearest of talk won't convince everyone, as evidenced by the hoopla surrounding Obama's birth certificate.

"There is going to be another element of the population that is so inclined to distrust his citizenship that they are going to find flaws with his birth certificate or alternative ways of believing he is not a citizen because they have a fundamental, abiding belief that he should not be president," Turner said.

If the administration were to release documentation — say, film — showing bin Laden's burial, people with this sort of mindset would find flaws, she said. And by denying the theories, there is the risk that the administration could plant the theories in the minds of those who have yet to hear them, she said.

Dispelling conspiracy theories could be an uphill battle for the administration.

"We love conspiracies," said Guido Stempel, who conducted national surveys on them as director of the Scripps Survey Research Center at Ohio University. These routinely found that a large portion of the population gave at least some credibility to theories, such as the U.S. government withholding information about the existence of extraterrestrial life.

In a survey in 2006, one of two that asked about the Sept. 11 attacks, Stempel and colleagues asked Americans if they believed federal officials either participated in the attacks or took no action to stop them "because they wanted the United States to go to war in the Middle East."

Twenty percent said this scenario was very likely, while 16 percent said it was somewhat likely.

"That is 60 million people who think it's very likely the government got involved on 9/11. That's an awful thing for people to believe," Stempel said.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42864812/ns/technology_and_science-science/

Tsunami at Israel's Edge

BY Steve Clemons
Behind the scenes, Fatah and Hamas have been working and talking for years about terms of reconciliation. But their efforts were stymied by both their own suspicions and demands of each other -- but also by Omar Suleiman who was the anointed Egyptian peacemaker but who worked behind the scenes with the US to make sure that both sides never got to "yes" at the same time.

Now, Egypt is out of the game of working on one hand to appear supportive of a Palestinian unity government while on the other hand sabotaging it on behalf of the United States, and indirectly Israel.

I've argued for some years that Israel's security arrangements in the region were a lot like a New Orleans levee -- they were working for the time being, but some day a tsunami would come and wash out parts of Israel's protection. Israel needed to see that its security and long term interests lay in working hard to revision and restructure its relationships in the region -- and the best vehicle for that was something along the lines of the Arab Peace deal offered by Saudi King Abdullah.

Now, Fatah and Hamas are reconciling. America and some other nations will no doubt threaten to withhold aid and support -- making themselves less relevant to the decisions made by Palestinian leaders but also creating some pressure for them.

But this is not an age where Europe and the US are calling all the shots any longer. In this case, the boutique rich nations of the GCC, Brazil, Turkey, Russia, and China, even India -- may emerge as the new lifeline of financial and political support for a reorganized and somewhat repurposed Palestine.

Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is the one person in Israel who could have really sold a real deal on a two state solution to his people. But he seems to have decided against this route -- and now we are seeing the political marketplace reaction to his and his government's intransigence and their lack of vision about new long term political and security relationships in Israel's neighborhood.

The tsunami that Israel will need to deal with may be here -- and it's vital that Netanyahu and others recalculate their game plan while this wave of change is sweeping through the region.

-- Steve Clemons publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note. Clemons can be followed on Twitter @SCClemons

An apple a day

Heart
An apple a day keeps bad cholesterol away
Apr 16, 2011 9:00 AM

Here’s a heart-healthy reason to prescribe yourself an apple a day: Women who ate dried apples every day for a year lowered their LDL (bad) cholesterol by 23 percent, according to a study funded by the U.S. Department of Agriculture and presented this week at the Experimental Biology 2011 conference in Washington, D.C.

Researchers split 160 women between 45 and 65 into two groups: one consumed roughly 2.5 ounces of dried apples daily and the other group ate dried prunes. Women who ate the apples not only saw a 14 percent to 23 percent decrease in LDL cholesterol, they lowered cell-damaging lipid hydroperoxide by 33 percent and C-reactive protein by 32 percent, increased good cholesterol by 4 percent, and lost on average 3.3 pounds.

Bottom line: While more research is warranted, you really don’t need a reason to eat more apples—they’re good for you and they’re delicious—plain and simple. But if you’re trying to lower your cholesterol and prevent heart disease, an apple a day might help. And don’t stop at apples—eating a wide variety of fruits and vegetables, with a variety of colors, can protect your heart by lowering LDL cholesterol and blood pressure levels, limiting inflammation of the arteries, warding off diabetes, and, of course, helping you lose weight.

Be sure to wash apples and other produce, and choose organic varieties if you can.

Sources
Daily apple consumption promotes cardiovascular health in postmenopausal women [The Journal of the Federation of American Societies for Experimental Biology]

Experimental Biology 2011

الشيخ محمد حسان بارك الله فيه

الشيخ الحويني بهدؤه الرائع

Dancing dictators: Web videos mock Gadhafi, Mubarak,Bin Ali

(CNN) -- Political upheaval across North Africa and the Middle East has provided rich pickings for animators, whose satirical videos have gone viral on the web, attracting millions of viewers.

Here are five of the best online animations mocking some of the region's entrenched, and recently departed, leaders:

Moammar Gadhafi's Zenga Zenga Song
"It's full of music so I canceled the video"

This video of a speech by Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi set to the tune of ''Hey Baby,'' by American rapper Pitbull, was posted on the internet by Noy Alooshe, an Israeli music producer and journalist. It has been viewed more than 3.6 million times on YouTube, and there are numerous spin-off versions.

Zine El Abedine Ben Ali on plane


This video by a team of young artists and storytellers at Kharabeesh.com shows ousted Tunisian president Zine El Abedine Ben Ali calling world leaders from his plane, asking them to help him find a new home.

Hosni Mubarak failing to hear the crowd



Another offering from Kharabeesh, meaning "scribbles" in Arabic, making fun of former Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak and his reluctance to give up power.

Moammar Gadhafi on Arabs Got Talent


This video is also by Kharabeesh, whose animators are based in Jordan, Tunisia and the United Arab Emirates. This spoof features Gadhafi as a stand-up comedian on the hit television show ''Arabs Got Talent.''

Ben Ali, Mubarak and Gadhafi as break dancers
"I canceld the video link coz of the music"

This contribution by MrBou3ali to the website JibJab, which allows subscribers to create their own e-cards and animations, shows Ben Ali, Mubarak and Gadhafi as break dancers.

ملخص لما جرى بأسلوب مضحك

بعض مواد البيان الدستوري

هذه بعض المواد التي كنا نتحدث عنها كم وقت سوف نستغرقه للدستور الدائم؟؟ والم يكن من الأفضل أن يستثمر الوقت الضائع هنا وهذه الفترات في عمل دستور جديد من البداية يكون بداية صفحة بيضاء للعمل السياسي الكامل ؟ مجرد رأي
( مـــــــادة 2 )
الإسلام دين الدولة ، واللغة العربية لغتها الرسمية ، ومبادئ الشريعة الإسلامية المصدر الرئيسي للتشريع
( مــــــادة 3 )
السيادة للشعب وحده، وهو مصدر السلطات، ويمارس الشعب هذه السيادة ويحميها، ويصون الوحدة الوطنية .
( مــــــادة 4 )
للمواطنين حق تكوين الجمعيات وإنشاء النقابات والاتحادات والأحزاب وذلك على الوجه المبين في القانون.
ويحظر إنشاء جمعيات يكون نشاطها معاديا لنظام المجتمع أو سريا أو ذا طابع عسكرى .
ولا يجوز مباشرة أى نشاط سياسى أو قيام أحزاب سياسية على أساس دينى أو بناء على التفرقة بسبب الجنس أو الأصل
(مـــــادة 60 )
يجتمع الأعضاء غير المعينين لأول مجلسى شعب وشورى فى اجتماع مشترك ، بدعوة من المجلس الأعلى للقوات المسلحة ، خلال ستة أشهر من انتخابهم ، لإنتخاب جمعية تأسيسية من مائة عضو ، تتولى إعداد مشروع دستور جديد للبلاد فى موعد غايته ستة أشهر من تاريخ تشكيلها، ويُعرض المشروع ، خلال خمسة عشر يوماً من إعداده ، على الشعب لاستفتائه فى شأنه ، ويعمل بالدستور من تاريخ إعلان موافقة الشعب عليه فى الاستفتاء .
(مــــادة 61 )
يستمر المجلس الأعلى للقوات المسلحة فى مباشرة الاختصاصات المحددة فى هذا الإعلان وذلك لحين تولى كل من مجلسى الشعب والشورى لاختصاصاتهما , وحتى انتخاب رئيس الجمهورية ومباشرته مهام منصبه كلُ فى حينه.
(مـــــادة 62 )
كل ما قررته القوانين واللوائح من أحكام قبل صدور هذا الإعلان الدستورى يبقى صحيحا ونافذا ، ومع ذلك يجوز إلغاؤها أو تعديلها وفقا للقواعد والإجراءات المقررة فى هذا الإعلان

حوار مع .. حول نعم و لا للتعديلات الدستورية

حسب علمي أنك كنت شبه مصمم على قول نعم ثم تحولت إلى لا هل تناجيني في هذه الصفحة لتطلعني على ماذا وراء الكلمتين
ماشي أولاً أريد أن أضع مقدمة لكلامي
أنا اوقر وأجل وأحترم العلماء الربانين الذين كانوا يوضحوا سبيل نعم ولا أشك أنهم في الغالب أعلم مني بما هو صالح للجميع ولكن هذه أسبابي
لماذا نعم في البداية
أولاً نعم لأن أغلب النصاري كانوا مجمعين على لا بل كان الكثير من رهبانهم يدعونهم للخروج وقول لا وأنا كما تعلم أري مخالفتهم خير ولا يخفى عليك ماذا أقصد
ثانياً نعم لبقاء المادة الثانية التي هي بصيص الأمل لنا في كلمة أسلام داخل هذا الدستور
ثالثاً نريد أستقرار ووقت ألتقاط الأنفاس للناس الكادحة التي أرهقها كل هذا الزخم من المظاهرات والتجمعات وتعطيل كل شيء
رابعاً التعديلات التي تمت جيدة في حد ذاتها وتسمح بكثير مما كنا نطمح أو حتى نحلم به
هذا بالإضافة لبعض الأمور التي يشاركني فيها كثير من الناس من أتحاد الكلمة وإتباع العلماء ووو كثير من هذا وحتى لا نشق الصف
هذا كلام جميل فلماذا أصبحت لا هي الأقرب للصواب
دعني أوضح رداً على نقاطي السابقة لكن دون ترتيب وبمقدمة أيضاً
إن هذا الإستفتاء لم يكن على الإسلام ولا على الدين أو المادة الثانية وإلا لخرجنا عن بكرة أبينا ما تخلف منا رجل ولكنه على مواد معدله وترقيع لدستور 71 وهذه كانت المقدمة
نأتي لما بعدها سيتغير الدستور سيتغير سواء الآن أو فيما بعد ولكن تغييره الآن أفضل لنقول نعم أو لا دون حاجة لمن يفصل الدستور رئيساً كان أو مجلس شعب ويضعنا أمام نعم أو نعم أو طول الوقت أستفتاءات وهو يحكم ، ثم أن الدستور إذا وضع الآن فإننا في ثورتنا وأسمح لي بهذا الكلمة يمكننا رفض أي دستور لا تكون المادة الثانية فيه واضحة وضوح الشمس فلا رئيس هناك يضغط ولا مجلس منتخب بطريقة أو بأخري يوافق . ثم هناك سيناريو في نعم لا أقبله وهو نعم تعني عودة دستور 71 الذي ليس فيه شيء حتى المادة الثانية مهلهل وسقط بسقوط واضعه الآخير وإذا كان السيناريو يتضمن تعليق العمل بالدستور!!! اي نعم لا يوجد فيها المادة الثانية ويتم إعلان دستوري مع المواد الموافق عليها يكون السيناريو أرضي كل الأطراف وخذ وقتك للتحضير للدستور الجديد وتعديل المادة الثانية لتكون مصدر أي مصدر!! وممكن كمان مع السيناريو إضافة ما يرضى الديانات الآخرى كأن تضاف ويتحاكم غير المسلمين لدينهم! ولكن هل كانوا يتحاكمون لديننا في دستور 71؟؟ أترك لك الإجابة ثم بعد ذلك يكون هناك رئيس ومجلس شعب ويمكن شورى كمان ويفصلوا دستور على المقاس فالأمور أستتبت طيب طولت في النقطة ديه أيه كمان
موضوع الأستقرار موضوع طويل فأغلب المظاهرات الحالية بتاعت مصلحة ناس عايزة تزيد مرتباتها وناس عايزة حق في أن يكونو مش عارف ايه والآن حالاً تعملوا كذا وكذا ونسى الجميع من شهرين ما كان يحلم أحدهم بأن يخاطب نفسه بهذه المطالب في الحمام أثناء عفواً الأستحمام وأنت فاهم قصدي أما عن مخالفتهم فأحياناً تغليب المصلحة يغلب على المخالفة مثل اللحيه مثلاً وتغطية شعر المرأة وما إلى ذلك ليس موافقتهم وإنما شيء فينا لذا لا كانت بالنسبة لي أقرب ولا عليك النتيجة محسومه مسبقاً لأن كثير منا أعتقد أن التصويت على الإسلام ولم يدري بالسيناريو الذي أتوقعه أنا وفي سطوري السابقة
المهم يا عم دوشتك لكن بالمناسبة أنت قلت نعم أم قلت لا؟؟؟ يا عم سيبك أنا مش قلت لك مناجاه لسه مش فاهم أنا قلت أيه ربنا يسهل وتكون الأمور لخير وربنا يكفينا شر السيناريوهات ( جديدة الكلمة ديه على المدونه لكن ماشي) أروح أستريح علشان أخيراً سمعتك اللي عايزه وربنا يسهل في كلام جديد بعد فترة يوضح أيهما كان أولى بالصواب والله الهادي لسواء السبيل ويجعل الخير أمامنا بإذنه وفضله

نعم ولا للتعديلات الدستورية

ما هي سيناريوهات ما بعد الإستفتاء علي التعديلات الدستورية


اذا وافق الشعب علي نصوص التعديلات فإن الحملات الانتخابية ستبدأ فورا و اذا رفضها فإن الحوار سيبدأ حول الجمعية التأسيسية التي ستتولي كتابة الدستور الجديد




الموافقة تعني الاستعداد للانتخابات والرفض يعني إعلان دستوري مؤقت

حتي الآن هناك سيناريوهان معروفان للتعديلات الدستورية المقبلة، اما رفض التعديلات من قبل المواطنين او الموافقة عليها لتصبح سارية، و لكن السؤال الذي يجب ان يكون مطروحا الا هو السؤال الطبيعي الذي يقرأ ما بعد هذه التعديلات ، سواء تمت الموافقة عليها او رفضها المصريون ، في حالة سيناريو الموافقة - وحسب فقهاء القانون - سيكون الامر قد انتهي الي استمرار دستور عام 71 ليحكم خلال المرحلة الانتقالية و سيتحول الجدل الدائر حول الموافقة علي رفض التعديلات او قبولها الي جدل آخر لا يقل اهمية و هو اي الانتخابات سيكون اولا "الانتخابات الرئاسية ام الانتخابات البرلمانية"و ستبدأ القوي السياسية في التجهيز للمعركتين معا و ستطرح كل قوة سياسية مرشحها للرئاسة و تعلن عن برنامجه و في ذات الوقت ستكون هذه القوي قد بدأت في التجهيز "لقوائم مجمعة " تخوض بها الانتخابات البرلمانية و هي الفكرة التي ستظهر اكثر في حالة الدكتور محمد البرادعي الذي طرح فكرة خوض القوي الوطنية للانتخابات بقوائم موحدة كضمانة تحول دون محاولات بعض قوي الثورة المضادة الانقضاض علي مكاسبها او ركوب موجتها ، علي ان حالة الموافقة علي التعديلات ستبرز اكثر من مرشح للرئاسة اعلن بعضهم بالفعل نيته الترشح لموقع رئيس الجمهورية مثل البرادعي و عمرو موسي و حمدين صباحي و ايمن نور و هشام البسطاويسي .


اذا فإن حالة الموافقة علي التعديلات ستنقل مصر الي مرحلة اخري من مراحل الثورة لا تقل اهمية و لا خطورة - و ربما تفوق - عن المرحلة الماضية التي استطاعت ثورة المصريين ان تهدم اركان النظام القديم لتبدأ مرحلة بناء نظام جديد .

السيناريو الثاني هو سيناريو رفض التعديلات الدستورية من قبل المواطنين و هنا - و حسب عدد من قيادات حكومة الدكتور عصام شرف - فإن المجلس الاعلي للقوات المسلحة سيتجه الي وضع اعلان دستوري مؤقت يتم الاستناد اليه في الحكم حتي وضع دستور جديد للبلاد ، و عندها سيبدأ الجدل حول الجمعية التأسيسية المنتخبة التي ستضع هذا الدستور و كيفية تشكيلها و عدد اعضائها و الشروط التي يجب ان تتوافر فيهم و ما اذا كان هناك اشتراط بأن يتم تمثيل فئات معينة بنسب محددة كأن يتم اشتراط تمثيل " القانونيين " بنسبة 25 % مثلا باعتبار انهم الاكثر وعيا و دراية بالقواعد القانونية و الدستورية ، علي ان سيناريو الرفض سيعني ان الجدل سيطول بعد انتهاء الجمعية التأسيسية من وضع الدستور، اذ ستكون عملية كتابة الدستور هي العملية الاسهل و لكن العملية الاصعب بكل تأكيد ستكون في التوافق حول نصوص الدستور الجديد الذي لابد ان يعبر عن توافق مجتمعي واسع و يحترم وجهات نظر المجتمع بأحزابه و قواه الوطنية و فئاته و شرائحه المختلفة ، بعدها يمكن ان تتم الانتخابات الرئاسية و البرلمانية علي اساس هذا الدستور الجديد كأول دستور حقيقي تضعه ارادة الجماهير في مصر دون التدخل من الحاكم .

و لكن كل هذه الافتراضات تشترط ان يتم التسليم - سواء من قبل المعارضين او المؤيدين للتعديلات - علي ان هناك قواعد ديمقراطية جديدة تحكم مصر ، و الا يكون هناك رأي و لا حكم و لا محاولات لفرض ارادة بعد ان نطقت ارادة الجماهير بالقول الفصل في الاستفتاء سواء بالرفض او بالقبول و ان يصبح ميدان التحرير رمزا للثورة و ليس مكانا لفرض ارادة فئة او فصيل او جماعة او حزب سياسي

رحلة مكة فبراير 2011 الحمد لله

It's very important that we read, and understand

How Far Will the Youth Revolution Spread?
by Justice Litle, Editorial Director, Taipan Publishing Group
Ike's Domino Theory is in full swing now. From a Tunisian handcart vendor to Tahrir Square in Egypt, and now to Iran, Libya, Yemen and Bahrain, Middle East revolution is spreading.
It seemed to begin with an out-of-the-blue event... a single domino unexpectedly falling. On Dec. 17, a broken and frustrated youth named Mohamed Bouazizi set himself on fire in the Tunisian town of Sidi Bouzid. All of Tunisia then rallied in anger.
There is natural comparison here to Gavrilo Princip, the Yugoslav nationalist who assassinated an archduke and touched off World War I. That opportunity came about because of a driver mix-up.
If Franz Ferdinand and his wife had not made a fateful wrong turn that day, would Europe have still marched to war? If Mohamed Bouazizi had not despaired of all hope for the future, would multiple "strong men" still have been toppled?
The picture cannot be confined to a one-off event. In order for revolution or war to occur, surrounding conditions have to be just so. One could compare a dangerous situation to an extremely dry forest, crackling with dead underbrush after a long period of drought. With conditions like that, a single cigarette butt or errant campfire spark can fuel an inferno.
In the Middle East, the dry tinder of resentment had been building up for a very long time. Now it is fed by the flames of angry youth. In many Middle Eastern countries youth under 30, and in some cases under 20, make up the majority of the population. Many of these are restless, angry and unemployed.
And then there is the "social" aspect to the revolution. The gatherings in Tunisia and Egypt were more professionally managed than ever before. Tools like Facebook and Twitter were used to organize gatherings and share valuable hints and tips, such as the best way to counter tear gas. (Put vinegar or onion under your scarf.)
When President Mubarak stalled before fleeing the country, many believed the main goal was buying time to move assets to safety. Western intelligence services now seem to confirm this. Estimates of the Mubarak fortune, accumulated over decades of iron-fisted rule, range from $3 billion to a whopping $40 billion.
With Mubarak out there is talk of freezing these assets, particularly in Swiss and U.K. accounts, as the rightful property of Egypt. There is also talk of trying Mubarak for corruption, with some Egyptians arguing he should be executed a la Saddam Hussein. No wonder the man looked pale in his televised speech. He was thinking about his neck... and his gold.
For the most part Westerners cheer as they take in this grand sweep of history in the making. As old hands at democracy, we in the West are proud to see a new taste for freedom sweep away old regimes.

But there are grave parallels here too -- comparisons that should deeply concern the West. After all, it is not just the Middle East that is populated by angry, disaffected youth. Nor is it just the Middle East dealing with potential food shortages and a mounting cost of living for those who can least afford it. As Businessweek reports,
... [R]ich democracies ignore youth unemployment at their peril. In the 34 industrialized nations in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, at least 16.7 million young people are not employed, in school, or in training, and about 10 million of those aren't even looking, the OECD said in December 2010. In the most-developed nations, the job market has split between high-paying jobs that many workers aren't qualified for and low-paying jobs that they can't live on, says Harry J. Holzer, a public policy professor at Georgetown University and co-author of a new book, Where Are All the Good Jobs Going? Many of the jobs that once paid good wages to high school graduates have been automated or outsourced.
... Although the recession ended in the summer of 2009, youth unemployment remains near its cyclical peak. In the U.S., 18 percent of 16- to 24-year-olds were unemployed in December 2010, according to the Labor Dept., a year and a half after the recession technically ended. For blacks of the same age it was 27 percent. What keeps the numbers from being even higher is that many teens have simply given up. Some are sitting on couches. Others are in school, which can be a dead end itself. The percentage of American 16- to 19-year-olds who are employed has fallen to below 26 percent, a record low.
Meanwhile David Goldman, who writes as "Spengler" for the Asia Times, openly wonders what will happen to Egypt (and other Middle East countries) if China's wheat crop fails:
Not until June will we know the extent of the damage to China's winter wheat crop, virtually all its production. Extremely low rainfall this winter parched more than 5 million hectares of 14 million hectares planted, and the next few weeks' weather will determine if the world faces a real shortage of the staff of life.

Hoarding on the part of North African countries, starting with Algeria, has already pushed up the wheat price in the Mediterranean to a 20% premium over the price shown on the Chicago futures market. The immediate risk is that pre-emptive purchases of wheat will price the grain out of the reach of poor Egyptians, not to mention Pakistanis and Bengalis.

And if reserve-rich China, usually self-sufficient, goes into the world market to buy millions of tons of wheat, the price of wheat can rise to an arbitrarily high level.
The dictators are going, but for many of these countries the food may be going too -- priced out of the average consumer's hands. (Via Spengler, roughly 40 million Egyptians live on less than US$2 per day.) In Egypt and elsewhere, we can expect more anger ahead.
In the West, stomachs are not so empty. But at the same time, Westerners have a much lower threshold for acceptable hardships -- and young Western individuals, often with education but no solid employment prospects, can see the writing on the wall.
As it becomes more apparent that reflation-based monetary policies are hostile to those with limited discretionary income and those without jobs, the potential for youth unrest in the U.S. and Europe, not just the Middle East, will grow.

US NEWS (when we'll know??)

How Hosni Mubarak Got So Rich

..Rick Newman, On Friday February 11, 2011,

There are no Mubaraks on the Forbes list of the world's richest people, but there sure ought to be.
The mounting pressure from 18 days of historic protests finally drove Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak from office, after three decades as his nation's iron-fisted ruler. But over that time, Mubarak amassed a fortune that should finance a pretty comfortable retirement. The British Guardian newspaper cites Middle Eastern sources placing the wealth of Mubarak and his family at somewhere between $40 billion and $70 billion. That's a pretty good pension for government work. The world's richest man--Mexican business magnate Carlos Slim--is worth about $54 billion, by comparison. Bill Gates is close behind, with a net worth of about $53 billion.

Mubarak, of course, was a military man, not a businessman. But running a country with a suspended constitution for 30 years generates certain perks, and Mubarak was in a position to take a slice of virtually every significant business deal in the country, from development projects throughout the Nile basin to transit projects on the Suez Canal, which is a conduit for about 4 percent of the world's oil shipments. "There was no accountability, no need for transparency," says Prof. Amaney Jamal of Princeton University. "He was able to reach into the economic sphere and benefit from monopolies, bribery fees, red-tape fees, and nepotism. It was guaranteed profit."
Had the typical Egyptian enjoyed a morsel of that, Mubarak might still be in power. But Egypt, despite a cadre of well-educated young people, has struggled as an economic backwater. The nation's GDP per capita is just $6,200, according to the CIA--one-seventh what it is in the United States. That output ranks 136th in the world, even though Egypt ranks 16th in population. Mubarak had been working on a set of economic reforms, but they stalled during the global recession. The chronic lack of jobs and upward mobility was perhaps the biggest factor driving millions of enraged Egyptian youths into the streets, demanding change.

Estimates of Mubarak's wealth will probably be hard to verify, if not impossible (one reason dictators tend not to make it onto Forbes's annual list). His money is certainly not sitting in an Egyptian vault, waiting to be counted. And his delayed exit may have allowed Mubarak time to move money around and hide significant parts of his fortune. The Swiss government has said it is temporarily freezing any assets in Swiss banks that could be linked to Mubarak, an uncharacteristically aggressive move for the secretive banking nation. But that doesn't mean the money will ever be returned to the Egyptian people, and it may even find its way to Mubarak eventually. Other Mubarak funds are reportedly sitting in British banks, and Mubarak was no doubt wily enough to squire away some cash in unlikely places. Plus, an eventual exile deal could allow Mubarak to retain some of his wealth, no questions asked, as long as he and his family leave Egypt and make no further bids for power.
Epic skimming is a common privilege of Middle Eastern despots, and Mubarak and his two sons, Gamal and Alaa, were a bit less conspicuous than some of the Saudi princes and other Middle Eastern royals seen partying from time to time on the French Riviera or other hotspots. The family does reportedly own posh estates in London, New York, and Beverly Hills, plus a number of properties around the Egyptian resort town of Sharm El Sheikh, where Mubarak reportedly went after resigning the presidency.
Mubarak also spread the wealth far and wide in Egyptian power circles--another Middle Eastern tradition--one reason he incurred the kind of loyalty that allowed him to rule for a remarkable three decades. Top Army officials were almost certainly on his payroll, which might help explain why the Army eased him out in the end--allowing a kind of in-country exile--instead of hounding him out of Egypt or imprisoning him once it was clear the tide had turned against him for good.

That money trail, in fact, will help determine whether Egypt becomes a more prosperous, democratic country, or continues to muddle along as an economic basket case. Even though he's out of power, Mubarak may still be able to influence the Army officials running the country, through the financial connections that made them all wealthy. And if not Mubarak, the next leader may be poised to start lining his pockets the same way Mubarak did. For Egypt to have a more effective, transparent economy, all of that will have to be cleaned up. There are probably a lot of people in Cairo who have been checking their bank balances lately

ما أعظم كلمات الله

يَـٰٓأَيُّهَا ٱلنَّاسُ ضُرِبَ مَثَلٌۭ فَٱسْتَمِعُوا۟ لَهُۥٓ ۚ إِنَّ ٱلَّذِينَ تَدْعُونَ مِن دُونِ ٱللَّهِ لَن يَخْلُقُوا۟ ذُبَابًۭا وَلَوِ ٱجْتَمَعُوا۟ لَهُۥ ۖ وَإِن يَسْلُبْهُمُ ٱلذُّبَابُ شَيْـًۭٔا لَّا يَسْتَنقِذُوهُ مِنْهُ ۚ ضَعُفَ ٱلطَّالِبُ وَٱلْمَطْلُوبُ ﴿73﴾ مَا قَدَرُوا۟ ٱللَّهَ حَقَّ قَدْرِهِۦٓ ۗ إِنَّ ٱللَّهَ لَقَوِىٌّ عَزِيزٌ ﴿74﴾ ٱللَّهُ يَصْطَفِى مِنَ ٱلْمَلَـٰٓئِكَةِ رُسُلًۭا وَمِنَ ٱلنَّاسِ ۚ إِنَّ ٱللَّهَ سَمِيعٌۢ بَصِيرٌۭ ﴿75﴾ يَعْلَمُ مَا بَيْنَ أَيْدِيهِمْ وَمَا خَلْفَهُمْ ۗ وَإِلَى ٱللَّهِ تُرْجَعُ ٱلْأُمُورُ


(73) O people, an example is presented, so listen to it. Indeed, those you invoke besides Allah will never create [as much as] a fly, even if they gathered together for that purpose. And if the fly should steal away from them a [tiny] thing, they could not recover it from him. Weak are the pursuer and pursued.
(74) They have not appraised Allah with true appraisal. Indeed, Allah is Powerful and Exalted in Might.
(75) Allah chooses from the angels messengers and from the people. Indeed, Allah is Hearing and Seeing.
(76) He knows what is [presently] before them and what will be after them. And to Allah will be returned [all] matters.

بعض المدن الأمريكية تعاني نقص وهروب السكان

Unqouted
لمن لا يعرف هذه المدن الأمريكية السبعة كانت من أكبر المدن وأكثرها تجارة ورواجاً اين هي الآن
Let's see how the big cities become or became
Where is:
New orleans Hurricane Katrina !
Flint Mich the auto industry!
Clevelanda thriving manufacturing center!
Buffalo, N.Y. 13th largest city!
Dayton, Ohio Home for great fortune 500 companies!
Pittsburgh the forge for the American industrial engine!
Rochester, N.Y the booming trade centre!
======================================
Quoted:
American Cities That Are Running Out Of People by Michael B. Sauter
Saturday, January 1, 2011


The population of the United States has increased steadily by roughly 2.5 million people every year since World War II. Throughout prosperity and hard times, Americans continue to have families. Many of the country's regions have expanded to accommodate this population increase. Some cities have grown faster than others as the result of being at the center of some important new technology or job market. Others have lost residents because of failing industries and migration. Nevertheless, some of these cities have continued to grow slowly, or at least remain relatively stagnant (not growing or developing), buoyed (to help a company, market, or economy to be more successful) by the rising tide of the national population.

There are some cities, however, that have experienced such severe hardship and decline that their populations have actually decreased significantly. New Orleans has lost more than a quarter of its population in the past 10 years as the result of Hurricane Katrina. The rest of the cities that have lost major parts of their population have seen their flagship industries, which include coal, steel, oil, and auto-related manufacturing, fall off or completely collapse. America moved away from its status as an industrial superpower in the second half of the 20th century as the services sector rose to replace it. Millions of U.S. manufacturing jobs have moved overseas. Cities such as Rochester, Cleveland and Buffalo declined in population because they were trade hubs, and new modes of transportation removed their geographical dominance. Cities like Flint, Mich., have economies based on a single major industry. In Flint's case, that industry is auto manufacturing. When that industry began to decline, Flint was unable to diversify to prevent a population exodus (a situation in which a lot of people leave a place or activity at the same time)All of the cities on this list experienced at least one of these devastating problems, which have caused tens of thousands -- and in some cases, hundreds of thousands -- of its residents to leave the region for other jobs and other homes. While it has been the primary focus of these cities to create new sources of employment for their residents, it may be years before people return, if they do at all.
[Home Prices Falling Faster in Biggest U.S. Cities]
Unfortunately, the populations of most of the cities on this list continue to decline and the situation could get worse for years. This loss of residents has caused severe drops in the social services that many of these cities can provide. Property and other taxes have fallen so much that the support that residents of other cities take for granted is at risk in the municipalities on this list. There is no longer any guarantee that they can maintain police and fire departments at reasonable levels. Some of these cities cannot continue to manage large neighborhoods that have become almost deserted as residents have left unoccupied homes behind. Home vacancy rates tell a great deal about how much a city's population has dropped.
24/7 obtained its population data from the U.S. Census Bureau's Population Division. Housing vacancy came from the Census Bureau's American Community Survey. This is a list of the seven American cities that have lost the most people in the past decade:

1. New Orleans
Population: 354,850
Population Change 2000-2009: -128,813
Population Percent Change 2000-2009: -26.63%
Home Vacancy: 21.5%
New Orleans is unique in that its presence on this list is not due to industrial decline, but from natural disaster. Hurricane Katrina flooded 80% of the city, caused by some estimates more than $80 billion in damage, and displaced tens of thousands of residents. The period of widespread homelessness, severe crime, and slow recovery has left the city as a shadow of its former self. While people are trickling (We let the sand trickle between our toes,if people or things trickle in or out, a few of them arrive or leave) back into the city, many will likely never return, and the city has lost more than a quarter of its population in just 10 years.

2. Flint, Mich.
Population: 111,475
Population Change 2000-2009: -13,266
Population Percent Change 2000-2009: -10.63%
Home Vacancy: 18%
While most of the cities on this list are here as the result of a general decline in industry, Flint's woes have come almost entirely from one sector -- the auto industry. Flint became a boomtown at the turn of the century as it became a divisional headquarters to the major American auto manufacturers, including Chevrolet, Buick, and General Motors. Between 1910 and 1930, the population had more than quadrupled due to the success of the American car business. Since the American auto industry began its decline in the 1980s, Flint has consistently lost at least 10% of its population each decade. Massive layoffs and plant closings have devastated the city, and unemployment rates remain well into the double digits.

3. Cleveland
Population: 431,369
Population Change 2000-2009: -45,205
Population Percent Change 2000-2009: -9.49%
Home Vacancy: 17.5%
Cleveland, the largest city on our list, was once a thriving manufacturing center, as well as an important point of trade because of its connection to several key routes, particularly Lake Erie. The city was once home to a sizable auto industry. Most of the largest companies that were once based in Cleveland no longer exist. These include Peerless, People's and Winton. Cleveland also served as headquarters for John D. Rockefeller's Standard Oil Company, as well as a key import location for coal and iron shipped from the South and Midwest. The decline of industrial American has hit the city particularly hard, and poverty, a default on municipal debt in the '70s, and pollution have earned the city the nickname "the mistake on the lake." In 1948, the city had over 910,000 people; it now has less than half of that.

4. Buffalo, N.Y.
Population: 270,240
Population Change 2000-2009: -21,970
Population Percent Change 2000-2009: -7.52%
Home Vacancy: 17.2%
Another victim of the Erie Canal boom and bust, Buffalo was the 13th largest city in the country just before WW II. It is now the 70th. Like Rochester, the city was once a premier mill town due to its location to the canal. Massive electricity generation from Niagara Falls improved Buffalo's industrial capacity, and the city referred to itself as the "City of Lights" for a time because of its power production. The collapse of the canal and improvements in the energy industry that made Niagara Falls less important led to the mass migration from the city which continues to this day. In the 1970s alone, Buffalo lost more than 100,000 residents, roughly a third of its current population.

5. Dayton, Ohio
Population: 153,843
Population Change 2000-2009: -11,961
Population Percent Change 2000-2009: -7.21%
Home Vacancy: 18.9%
For its size, Dayton, Ohio, was once one of the most productive and creative cities in the U.S. It produced more patents per capita at the turn of the century than any other. The city was home to several former great Fortune 500 companies, including National Cash Register, Mead Paper and Phillips Manufacturing. Through the first half of the 20th century, Dayton had one of the healthiest manufacturing industries. It had more GM autoworkers than any city outside of Michigan during World War II. In the past 50 years, Mead has merged with West Virginia Paper and moved to Richmond, and GM has closed one plant after another in the city.

6. Pittsburgh
Population: 311,647
Population Change 2000-2009: -22,056
Population Percent Change 2000-2009: -6.61%
Home Vacancy: 14.1%
Known as the "Steel City," Pittsburgh was once the forge for the American industrial engine from the late 1800s through the late 1970s. At its peak, the city was home to more than 1,000 factories, including the mills owned by Pittsburgh-based U.S. Steel, which by itself employed over 340,000 workers during World War II. As the American steel industry collapsed in the 1980s, Pittsburgh suffered severe unemployment problems. In the past few decades, the city changed to a technology-based economy, but the population is still on the decline. Since 1950, Pittsburgh's population has declined by more than 50%.

7. Rochester, N.Y.
Population: 207,294
Population Change 2000-2009: -12,180
Population Percent Change 2000-2009: -5.55%
Home Vacancy: 15.3%
Rochester was once a booming trade center largely due to its location at the midpoint between Albany and Buffalo on the Erie Canal. At its peak, the city was the major flour processor in the country, and was home to several key corporations including Xerox and Eastman Kodak. Rochester declined as the usefulness of the canal went out with the advent of railroads and its flagship companies began to lose their relevancy in the larger global economy. Rochester has yet to produce an important replacement industry to drive up the population, and even the success in the 1990's of Xerox has faded. Between 1950 and 2000, Rochester lost 34% of its population.
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